Box Office Predictions Game: Saw 3D Takes on Paranormal Activity 2

October 27, 2010

It's Halloween weekend for our new round of the Box Office Prophet Game where you are given the opportunity to make your best box office predictions.

The one lone newcomer this weekend (not counting The Girl Who Kicked The Hornet's Nest in limited release), Saw 3D, has its sights set on Paramount's new juggernaut, Paranormal Activity 2. Can gore and guts successfully chase possessions and jump scares from the top spot? Your objective is to predict what these two horror films along with Jackass 3D, Red and Clint Eastwood's Hereafter will make at the box office this weekend from Friday, October 29 through Sunday, October 31. Your predictions will be averaged in with the other players to go up against The Prophet predictions (visible below after your predictions are entered). Should the average player differences between the actual box office gross and predicted grosses beat the Prophet for 3 or more of the 5 films, the top player will win The Rocky Horror Picture Show on Blu-ray Disc.

If the Prophet comes out on top and at least 50 players enter the game, then this prize will roll into the next round and be joined by another. If 50 players aren't met then the prize rolls without a new addition. Either way the top player finisher will take home a consolation DVD.

Once you are successfully logged in, the average player scores will update in real time below as new predictions are entered. The entry period will close at 9pm PST Thursday, October 28, with this round's results being published sometime Monday in our box office actuals report. Good luck, and Happy Halloween!

There are currently 34 players up against the Prophet

The entry period for October 29 - 31 has already ended. Follow the weekly results at the Weekend Box Office Prophet main page.

Saw 3D The Final Chapter
The Saw franchise motors on with its first installment in 3D. This is the seventh Saw film for those counting, and it will need to pick up some steam after Saw 6 debuted to the lowest opening weekend of the franchise with $14.1 million. 3D should definitely help. Opens on 2,700 screens.
All: $22.1   Me: n/a   Prophet: $13.7   Actual: $22.5
Paranormal Activity 2
Paramount is hoping Paranormal Activity 2 continues its strong run and beats Saw on Halloween weekend after enjoying a huge nearly $41 million opening last weekend. The fear is that most who wanted to see it saw it last weekend. Then again, those out for scares may find themselves opting for jumps over Saw's gore.
All: $21.0   Me: n/a   Prophet: $17.2   Actual: $16.5
Jackass 3D
Jackass 3D enters its third weekend having dropped nearly 58% from the first to second weekend to bring in $21.3 weekend. Johnny Knoxville and his pals are unlikely beat Saw or Paranormal Activity 2 with Halloween brewing, but a third place finish is most certainly within reach.
All: $11.7   Me: n/a   Prophet: $10.3   Actual: $8.5
Red
Red enters the Halloween frame having only dropped 31% in its second weekend of release, good enough for $15 million and a third place finish. Films targeted at an older crowd are proving to have longer legs so another drop less than 50% is likely in the cards.
All: $9.3   Me: n/a   Prophet: $8.4   Actual: $10.7
Hereafter
Like Red, Hereafter is after the older demographic and could benefit from word of mouth to draw additional viewers in its second a weekend. A $12 million opening weekend last week wasn't outstanding, but it received a decent bump Saturday to top what was looking like a $10 million opening after Friday.
All: $7.9   Me: n/a   Prophet: $6.9   Actual: $6.4

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